Reacción a "Emissions released since the Paris Agreement have intensified recent heatwaves in Europe"

In this article, scientists at Stanford have succeeded in measuring, to a significant degree, how emissions over a very short period exacerbate a specific extreme event. Until now, this had been difficult due to computational limitations and the natural variability of the climate.

Using generative AI models, they analysed a specific scenario: “What would the European heatwave of June 2025 have been like if we had frozen emissions in 2015, in line with the Paris Agreement?” 

Emissions released between 2015 and 2025 made that heatwave ~0.34 °C more intense. 

They also state that being able to attribute an event to specific fractions of emissions (with a minimum of 12 per cent of global emissions required to separate the signal from the noise) paves the way for direct legal claims for economic losses and deaths, and for seeking scientifically grounded compensation.