Autor/es reacciones

Ana Hernández

Sustainability Researcher at the Foundation for Climate Research (FIC)

The Global Carbon Budget 2023 report once again brings discouraging news, forecasting a 1.1% increase in CO2 emissions compared to last year. 

Bearing in mind that the information comes from a study carried out by renowned institutions in climate change research, such as the universities of Exeter and East Anglia in the United Kingdom, as well as the Center for International Climate Research in Norway and the Ludwig-Maximilian University in Germany along with 90 other institutions, and that it also coincides with reports presented by governmental and non-governmental organisations, the quality of this information is clear. 

It should be noted that the study expresses its limitations by confirming that there is a high uncertainty regarding warming from agents other than CO2, i.e. the contribution of other greenhouse gases, in order to be able to state that the 1.5°C temperature will be reached in seven years [with the current level of emissions]. 

One of the most important points is the insufficient and slow global action to reduce the use of fossil fuels. Although the European Union and the United States have reduced their emissions, they have been overtaken by the increase in India and China. Despite this, there remains confidence that climate policies can be effective and they are certainly pushing to achieve the goals of the Paris Agreement. 

Another point of particular relevance is that the 1.5°C increase in temperature over several years will come sooner than initially expected and there is even a risk that we will not only exceed this threshold, but come dangerously close to 2°C in a very few years [at current emissions levels]. It is also worth noting how one-off events can have devastating consequences for the planet, as in the case of the forest fires in Canada, where emissions openly exceeded the global average by six to eight times.

EN