Autor/es reacciones

Ernesto Rodríguez Camino

Senior State Meteorologist and president of Spanish Meteorological Association

The announcement by AEMET of the abnormally high temperatures for this time of the year expected for the next few days is consistent with the effects of climate change repeatedly announced by scientific bodies, mainly represented by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). This group, in its most recent synthesis report of the sixth assessment cycle, insists and reiterates that the occurrence of more frequent and intense extreme weather and climate events - especially those related to temperatures - is one of the most easily perceptible consequences of climate change caused by our uncontrolled greenhouse gas emissions.  

The climate change projections calculated by a multitude of research centers and compiled and disseminated in the IPCC reports represent the script of how the climate and its impacts will evolve for different greenhouse gas emission paths. The higher the emissions, the greater the warming of the climate system and the greater the effects such as the occurrence of more frequent and intense extreme weather and climate events. These temperature records, which are expected to be broken in the coming days, and in the absence of the necessary attribution studies to be carried out a posteriori, do not deviate one iota from the script written in the form of numerical simulations and summarized and disseminated by the IPCC. Moreover, the IPCC insists that there is still time to set the climate right with sustainable, decisive and sustained action. If we do not take these measures, the climate will continue to change and effects such as these extreme events will become more and more common and will hit us harder. 

Of course, in addition to tackling the causes of climate change by reducing our collective greenhouse gas emissions, we must adapt to the effects of climate change that are already affecting us. One of the most effective ways of adapting is to take measures in the face of extreme phenomena that are easily predictable over the horizon of days and that may affect the most vulnerable sectors of the population and certain socioeconomic sectors. The warnings that are disseminated and the measures that are put in place every time an extreme heat episode appears are a very good example of adaptation to climate change and its effects.

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