Davide Consoli
Senior Scientist in Social Sciences at INGENIO (CSIC-UPV)
This contribution explores the most extreme scenarios of climate change impacts associated with higher temperatures than those currently being discussed. The starting point is that a comprehensive risk assessment should take into account not only the direct consequences - for example, melting glaciers - but also how society's reaction may propagate and even amplify the risks. Using descriptive statistics with a broad geographical and temporal scope, the article proposes a research agenda directed towards the relationship between climate change and the triggering of extreme events such as conflict, political instability and mass extinction.
Given the uncertain future we face, this work represents an important advance on existing analyses as it broadens the horizon by proposing a more critical, as well as more detailed, approach to the socio-economic implications of climate change.