A study analyzes the proximity of bombs detonated by the Israeli army to hospitals in the Gaza Strip

A study has used geospatial data and satellite imagery to analyze the number of MK 84 bombs dropped by the Israeli army in the Gaza Strip between October 7 and November 17, 2023 that detonated near hospital infrastructure. Of the 36 existing hospitals, 30 of them had suffered at least one explosion within 800 meters. According to the authors of the paper, which is published in PLOS Global Public Health, the research “reveals concerns about indiscriminate shelling near hospital infrastructure, which enjoys special protection under international humanitarian law.”

09/10/2024 - 20:00 CEST
 
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Hospital locations and the number of bomb craters within 800 m and 360 m of hospitals. Credit: Kunichoff et al., 2024, PLOS Global Public Health, CC-BY 4.0

Expert reactions

Salvador Peiró - gaza bombas hospitales

Salvador Peiró

Epidemiologist, researcher in the Health Services and Pharmacoepidemiology Research Area of the Foundation for the Promotion of Health and Biomedical Research of the Valencian Community (FISABIO) and Director of Gaceta Sanitaria, the scientific journal of the Spanish Society of Public Health and Health Administration (SESPAS)

Science Media Centre Spain

The paper by Kunichoff et al. published in Plos Global Public Health and making ingenious use of satellite images previously published in the mainstream press, describes how between October and mid-November 2023 hundreds of Mark-84 bombs (with enormous destructive capacity, even hundreds of meters from the blast site) were detonated close enough to 84% of Gaza hospitals to cause 'damage and injury' (less than 800 meters) and at a 'lethal' distance (less than 350 meters) from 25% of those hospitals. And both in the north of the Strip and in the supposedly safe evacuation zone defined by Israel.

Hospitals within these distance ranges will have suffered damage to their infrastructures and human casualties, both among patients and health professionals and among the civilian population that (in vain) sought refuge in their vicinity because they are infrastructures specially protected by international humanitarian law. In addition, damage to roads, electricity or water facilities, etc., will have affected access to hospitals and their supplies, and hindered the care of many seriously ill patients.

In summary, the above study proves that Israel, ignoring the most basic international law thanks to the impunity that the United States is guaranteeing it, has been considering hospitals, health professionals and patients as a legitimate military target. Crimes against humanity. No palliatives.

The author has not responded to our request to declare conflicts of interest
EN

Rafael Castro Delgado - Gaza bombas hospitales

Rafael Castro Delgado

Emergency Physician (SAMU-Asturias), coordinator of the Research Group on Prehospital Care and Catastrophes (Instituto de Investigación Sanitaria de Asturias, ISPA) and professor of Emergency Medicine at the University of Oviedo.

Science Media Centre Spain

The study is of good quality. It is supported above all by the reputation of its own researchers, some of whom I know personally.

The main added value is that it brings to the table the problem of attacks on healthcare centers and healthcare personnel, something that is happening more and more frequently in conflicts. Moreover, it does so with objective data and in a structured manner.

The main limitation of the study is that it works with secondary sources, although this is a limitation that always exists in these cases. There is also a lack of more concrete information on the estimates of 360 and 800 meters: mortality depends on many factors. There may be problems in interpreting the results and reaching conclusions that are too simple.

In general, the article is interesting and provides knowledge from a scientific point of view, which, on occasions, should not be left aside from political aspects.

The author has not responded to our request to declare conflicts of interest
EN

Juan Alguacil - Gaza bombas hospitales

Juan Alguacil

Professor of Public Health, and the Director of the Research Group in Clinical Epidemiology, Environmental and Social Transformation of the University of Huelva, and the Director of the Research Group in Clinical Epidemiology, Environmental and Social Transformation of the University of Huelva.

Science Media Centre Spain

Although their causes may be political, wars are an increasingly relevant public health problem. They are increasingly affecting the civilian population. And what is alarming is no longer that the main victims are women and children, but that, based on data provided by researchers, there is no longer respect for hospitals, health professionals, or the sick or vulnerable population being cared for in health facilities or in refugee camps. In the case of Gaza, in full view of the whole world, including the major regional and world political leaders, and international organizations such as the UN, which, after a year since the conflict began to worsen, not only continue to allow the massacre, but accept that it is spreading.

The most telling sentence in the article, in my opinion, is not in the conclusion, but when it states that 'damage to infrastructure and injury or death of human beings within the lethal range of antibunker bombs are not truly collateral, but are in fact an anticipated effect of those bombs when chosen in place of smaller munitions'. To put it plainly, not many more words are needed. Another 'message' that the article leaves is about the client for whom these bombs are manufactured: the U.S. Department of Defense.

The study, led by researchers from Harvard University, in collaboration with other American, Palestinian and Lebanese institutions, provides arguments and data to try to demonstrate that Israel has been violating international humanitarian law during the current conflict in Gaza by dropping anti-bunker bombs in the vicinity of hospitals within the lethal range of these bombs.

The study is pioneering and original in its methodology combined with the objective, and provides relatively robust data to support its conclusions. Geospatial data on bomb craters from publicly available satellite imagery from media with little suspicion of being anti-Semitic (CNN and New York Times), and geolocation data on hospital facilities provided by the United Nations, combined with artificial intelligence data analysis strategy, ensure the reproducibility of the study by third parties.

The results are in line with official accounts from UN representatives such as Francesca Albanese, UN Special Rapporteur for the Occupied Palestinian Territories, or the World Health Organization's Regional Office for the Eastern Mediterranean.

The author has declared they have no conflicts of interest
EN

Pedro Arcos González - Gaza bombas hospitales

Pedro Arcos González

Director of the Emergency and Disaster Research Unit of the University of Oviedo and WHO advisor on emergencies

Science Media Centre Spain

The article is relevant because it discusses the risk, in this case indirect, of Israeli bombardment of areas near Gaza hospitals. In fact, Israel has bombed 'directly', and against all international humanitarian law, many of Gaza's hospitals with devastating impact. At least 17 of the 36 existing hospitals have been completely disabled by direct bombardment. Both in terms of infrastructure, medical care and the health of the population this impact is enormous and is both short, medium and long term.

Hospitals in Gaza were already operating under extremely difficult conditions due to the Israeli blockade for more than 15 years, which systematically prevents access to medical supplies, fuel and other essential resources.

The author has not responded to our request to declare conflicts of interest
EN

Isabel Portillo - Gaza bombas hospitales

Isabel Portillo

Coordinator of Colorectal and prenatal cancer screening at the Basque Health Service-Osakidetza, researcher in the Cancer Biomarkers group at the Biobizkaia Health Research Institute and secretary of the Board of Directors of the Spanish Society of Epidemiology

Science Media Centre Spain

The study is of high quality, with a well-defined, structured and innovative methodology, using reliable, official sources and data both journalistic and published in networks.

The results and conclusions are solid, in accordance with the objectives and the methodology used: the destruction caused by the bombs and the effect according to the distance in the destruction, affectation of sanitary structures, hospitals....

It is a novel work since the description of the type of bombs, number of craters (indicating the lethal impact or not), the affected areas, allow us to situate the consequences of the conflict for Gaza without going into details of the number of victims, although it is cited in the bibliography (e.g. 40, 41, 42 and 43). In addition to the reports of the UN and human rights bodies.

Limitations have been described as there are geolocations that have been lost, as well as the quantitative impact of all victims, counting hospitalized people, refugees, health professionals and the lack of supplies so that health infrastructures can continue to function (electricity and water).

This study provides scientific evidence of the negative impact of this conflict and the non-respect of international human rights conventions, including the non-destruction and non-attack of health infrastructures and civilian population.

Conflictos de interés: “Soy miembro de la ONG Solidaridad para el desarrollo y la paz (Sodepaz) que trabaja en cooperación en los territorios ocupados con proyectos aprobados a nivel de España y Europa. Directamente no participo en los proyectos. En 1986 trabajé como cooperante en el Líbano con Médicos Sin Fronteras, con los que sigo colaborando de forma altruista. Soy miembro de CEAR aportando cuota, si bien no participo directamente en los proyectos. Soy miembro de la Asociación Española Contra el Cáncer, si bien no participo en proyectos”. 

EN
Publications
Are hospitals collateral damage? Assessing geospatial proximity of 2000 lb bomb detonations to hospital facilities in the Gaza Strip from October 7 to November 17, 2023
  • Research article
  • Peer reviewed
  • Observational study
Journal
PLOS Global Public Health
Authors

Kunichoff et al.

Study types:
  • Research article
  • Peer reviewed
  • Observational study
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